Autonomous Transport Systems
The semi-autonomous truck market is estimated to be 260,000 units in 2018 and is projected to reach 1,130,000 units by 2025, at a CAGR of 23.38%.
The autonomous truck market is estimated to be 15,000 units in 2025 and is projected to reach 81.8 thousand units by 2030, at a CAGR of 39.96%.
The autonomous train market, in terms of volume, is projected to grow at a CAGR of 4.87% from 2018 to 2030. The market is estimated at 54,558 Units in 2017 and is projected to reach 106,290 Units by 2030. In this study, 2017 has been considered the base year, and 2018–2030 is the forecast period, for estimating the market size of the market.
Source: Markets & Markets
Where are autonomous transport systems used?
The first stage of development testing for autonomous transport systems is in controlled industrial environments such as mines and ports. These areas have well-defined paths and limited variability in the types of obstacles that a vehicle must navigate around. Control of the environment by a single corporation also means that many vehicles are connected to the same system. This increases the ability of a vehicle to foresee potential obstacles and to coordinate action with other vehicles in the system.
Autonomous trains, subways, ships, and airplanes are also being experimented with. Autonomous trains and subways are commonly used today and are significantly easier to manage due to the high degree of system control. Ships and airplanes can and do run autonomously for long durations but are typically not operated without a human operator at the controls. We are moving into a period where the presence of human operators will likely remain primarily to mitigate legal risk rather than with the anticipation that humans will be superior at piloting the vehicle in most circumstances.
Systems for general road use are being developed rapidly. Highways are widely expected to be the first public roads to see significant autonomous traffic. As opposed to urban roads, highways typically offer a wide field of vision and relatively homogenous behavior among other objects of the road. Urban roads must contend with broken tree limbs, children playing, bikes running stop signs, people pulling out of driveways, and other unpredictable factors.
How are autonomous transport systems connected to information systems?
Data distribution service (DDS) is an industry standard for autonomous vehicles because it is open standard and cross-vendor.
What are the technical challenges facing autonomous transport systems?
Technical challenges related to autonomy include ensuring reliable data ingestion, guaranteeing real-time response in complex situations, managing complex data flows between vehicles and connected systems, integrating systems, and securing system access to prevent the hacking of vehicles or systems.